Rutledge is holding stead at #3 on nearly everyone’s list. Photo via BA
In quick succession to Keith Law‘s list of top Nats prospects, the prospect team at MLBpipeline.com (Jim Callis and Jonathan Mayo) has released their top 30 for the nats system.
Here’s the major pundits in the space and links to their top X lists:
- MLBpipeline (Callis, Mayo): https://www.mlb.com/prospects/2020/nationals/
- Athletic (Keith Law): https://theathletic.com/1646222/2020/03/03/keith-laws-prospect-rankings-washington-nationals/ (paywall)
- Fangraphs (McDaniel and Longenhagen): https://blogs.fangraphs.com/top-21-prospects-washington-nationals/
- Baseball America: https://www.baseballamerica.com/teams/1012/washington-nationals/organizational/?year=2020&type=P
- Baseball Prospectus: https://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/article/55796/2020-prospects-washington-nationals-top-10-prospects/ (paywall)
The only major pundits remaining without published lists are John Sickels, who ran minorleagueball.com for years but who is now at the Athletic and i’m not sure if he’s still in the business of prospect rankings (he did not do one last year but it was perhaps still during the transition to the site) and Kiley McDaniel, who recently left Fangraphs to take over for Law at ESPN and probably doesn’t have time in 2020.
Anyway, lets take a look at the MLBpipeline guys and see who they’re “up” and “down” on. From a prospect perspective, I perceive that Callis/Mayo tend to more heavily weigh the “famous factor” in these rankings, often keeping players around just due to draft pedigree or signing bonus. They also seem to weigh floor a bit more than ceiling (hence why we have a few “edge of the 40-man roster types” lingering on this list, and often will have promising but younger players omitted to include older guys … that is unless the younger guy is in the “famous” category.
- Same top 3 as everyone else
- They’re definitely high man on both Andry Lara and Eddy Yean.
- As per the “famous factor,” Romero continues to linger in their top 10
- They like 2019 IFA Roismar Quintana; Law and BA didn’t rank him at all and they have him 15th despite never having played an inning in pro ball.
- They have a bunch of higher-round college arm draft picks in teh 20-30 range (guys like Schaller, Irvin, Bourque, Braymer) that seem to be to be low ceiling guys; are any of these guys anything other than org-arms?
- Raudy Read, Jakson Reetz and Tres Barrera listed as 25,28 and 19 respectively. Is this how you’d rank these depth chart catchers right now on your prospect list?
- They’re much lower on German than Law was, but are in line with BA and Fangraphs. I wonder what Law sees in the guy.
Who’s missing?
- as others noted, no Jackson Tetrault anywhere. No Malvin Pena mentioned either. No Augustin on mlb’s list; only Law likes this guy.