{"id":17090,"date":"2021-06-08T13:22:20","date_gmt":"2021-06-08T17:22:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=17090"},"modified":"2021-06-08T17:28:51","modified_gmt":"2021-06-08T21:28:51","slug":"2021-cws-regional-results-super-regional-pairings","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=17090","title":{"rendered":"2021 CWS Regional Results, Super Regional Pairings"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So, something happened with my blog hosting provider and I believe they lost some prior posts.  I can no longer see my 2021 CWS regional prediction piece.  I suspect a hosting failure.  Nonetheless, here&#8217;s a recap of the 16 regionals.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Quick Regional Recaps<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We\u2019ll review the 16 regionals in order of the larger bracket. &nbsp;<strong>Bold<\/strong> is the host\/seed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">#1 <strong>Arkansas<\/strong> regional recap: #1 seed got a scare from Nebraska, got extended to the 7th game but advanced. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">#16: <strong>Louisiana Tech<\/strong> regional recap: host La Tech scored a lot .. but also let NC State score a lot too and the ACC team advances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">#8: <strong>Texas Tech<\/strong> regional recap: Texas Tech managed to beat each of the 3 teams in its region to advance without much fuss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">#9: <strong>Stanford<\/strong> regional recap: UC Irvine extended the Cardinal, but Stanford prevailed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">#5 <strong>Arizona <\/strong>regional recap: Arizona handled #3 seeded UC Santa Barbara to advance without a loss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">#12 <strong>Ole Miss<\/strong> regional recap: Ole Miss got pushed by its in-state rival Southern Miss, but won out the 7th game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">#4 <strong>Vanderbilt<\/strong> regional recap: Vandy&#8217;s two aces provided the first two wins, and they dug deep to take out Georgia Tech in the regional final.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">#13 <strong>ECU<\/strong> regional recap: East Carolina held serve over a plucky Maryland team to win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">#3 <strong>Tennessee <\/strong>regional recap: Tennessee outlasted local favorite Liberty, who blasted ACC champ Duke en route to the final.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">#14 <strong>Oregon <\/strong>regional recap: Host Oregon could not stop LSU from fulfilling its destiny; they came out of the loser&#8217;s bracket to bash their way to the super regionals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">#6 <strong>TCU <\/strong>regional recap: TCU got knocked out by perennial power house Oregon State, but it was regional power Dallas Baptist who advanced.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">#11 <strong>ODU<\/strong> regional recap: A crazy weather weekend featured the #1 seeded ODU taking out the host South Carolina, but UVA fighting out of the loser&#8217;s bracket to force the extra game, which got pushed to Tuesday morning.  there, UVA walked off the win in extra innings to advance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">#7 <strong>Mississippi State<\/strong> regional recap: cruised to a 3-game regional win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">#10 <strong>Notre Dame<\/strong> regional recap: Notre Dame bashed their way to the super regional, scoring 50 (fifty!) runs in 3 games to win what looks like easily the weakest regional.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">#15 <strong>Florida <\/strong>regional recap: powerhouse program Florida absolutely did not show up at their regional, going 2 and out as a national seed and losing their 2nd game 19-1.  South Florida, the #4 seed in the group, takes out upstart South Alabama to advance in a shock.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">#2 <strong>Texas<\/strong> regional recap: Texas destroyed all three teams in their regioanl, advancing by a combined score of 33-5 to move on.<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Predictions versus Actuals<\/strong>: <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Predicted: Arkansas, Alabama, Texas Tech, Stanford, Arizona, Ole Miss, Vanderbilt, ECU, Tennessee, LSU, TCU, UVA, Miss State, Notre Dame, Florida Texas.<\/li><li>Actual: Arkansas, NC State, Texas Tech, Stanford,  Arizona, Ole Miss, Vanderbilt, ECU, Tennessee, LSU, Dallas Baptist, UVA, Mississippi State, Notre Dame, South Florida, Texas<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So I got 13 out of 16 right.  Missed on Alabama, TCU, Florida.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Summary of Regionals statistically<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>11 of 16&nbsp; hosts advanced.&nbsp; <\/li><li>Just 1 of the 8 national seeds fell (#6 TCU)<\/li><li>4 of the 9-16 seeds fell: La Tech, Oregon, Florida, ODU<\/li><li>11 number one seeds, 1 number two seeds, 3 number three seeds, and 1 number four seeds advance to the super regionals.  <\/li><li>4 number of #4 seeds who didn\u2019t finish 4th in their regional; NJIT, South Florida, Central Michigan, North Dakota State<\/li><li>1: number of #4 seeds to get opening wins.&nbsp; only South Florida<\/li><li>Most surprising regional winner: South Florida, obviously.  Amazing when a #4 seed advances.<\/li><li># of &#8220;extended&#8221; regionals: 7 of the 16 went to the last game.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Conference Breakdowns of the teams in the Super Regionals<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>SEC: Arkansas, Ole Miss, Vanderbilt, Tennessee, LSU, Mississippi State, <\/li><li>ACC: NC State, Notre Dame, UVA<\/li><li>Big12: Texas Tech, Texas, <\/li><li>Pac12: Stanford, Arizona<\/li><li>Big 10: zero<\/li><li>Others: East Carolina (AAC), Dallas Baptist (MVC), South Florida (AAC)<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Very top heavy; SEC gets 6 of the 16 super regionalists.  The rest of the top baseball conferences each get 2-3 teams as one might expect. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Super Regional Matchups<\/strong>: &nbsp;the higher ranked team is the host unless otherwise noted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>#1 Arkansas vs NC State<\/li><li>#8 Texas Tech vs #9 Stanford<\/li><li>#5 Arizona vs #12 Ole Miss<\/li><li>#4 Vanderbilt vs #13 East Carolina<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>#3 Tennessee vs LSU<\/li><li>Dallas Baptist vs UVA<\/li><li>#7 Mississippi State vs #10 Notre Dame<\/li><li>#2 Texas vs South Florida<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Super Regional Thoughts\/Predictions<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>#1 Arkansas vs NC State; Arkansas is just too powerful and won&#8217;t be stopped.<\/li><li>#8 Texas Tech vs #9 Stanford: I think Texas Tech is the favorite here.<\/li><li>#5 Arizona vs #12 Ole Miss; a tough one to predict; Arizona looked a bit better in their regional.<\/li><li>#4 Vanderbilt vs #13 East Carolina; Vandy not getting stopped in a super regional where they have the clear pitching advantage.<\/li><li> #3 Tennessee vs LSU; LSU was swept at Tennessee earlier this year; it seems like that may happen again.  LSU&#8217;s cinderella season ends.<\/li><li>Dallas Baptist vs UVA: So, neither team put in a bid to host, so neither team could get a home field advantage; the Super Regional is being played on the campus of South Carolina, as was the ODU regional earlier.  I think UVA has the advantage here.<\/li><li>#7 Mississippi State vs #10 Notre Dame; I like what Notre Dame does at the plate and pick them to advance.<\/li><li>#2 Texas vs South Florida:  Texas looks way too strong.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">CWS field predictions: Arkansas, TT, AZ, Vandy, Tenn, UVA, Notre Dame, Texas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>CWS Predictions<\/strong>: Early CWS final prediction:&nbsp; I like Arkansas over Vanderbilt and have for a while.  But both are projecting to the same bracket in Omaha.  So i&#8217;m going with Vandy vs Texas with Vandy winning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Star Power at Super Regionals<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Here&#8217;s a quick glance at the top draft picks that are still alive in the Super Regionals:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Vanderbilt: <strong>Leiter and Rocker<\/strong>, both likely going top 5<\/li><li>Texas: <strong>Ty Madden<\/strong>, their Ace<\/li><li>Ole Miss: <strong>Gunnar Hogeland<\/strong>, their Ace<\/li><li>NC State: <strong>Luca Tresh<\/strong>, a likely 2nd round Catcher, <strong>Jose Torres<\/strong> their SS.<\/li><li>UVA: <strong>Zach Gelof, Andrew Abbott, Mike Vasil<\/strong>: all likely 2nd day picks.<\/li><li>Mississippi State: <strong>Wil Bednar<\/strong>, <strong>Christian MacLeod<\/strong>, two solid arms.<\/li><li>Arkansas: <strong>Christian Franklin<\/strong>, OF.<\/li><li>East Carolina: <strong>Gavin Williams<\/strong>, RHP<\/li><li>LSU: <strong>Landon Marceaux<\/strong> their new ace, but <strong>Jaden Hill<\/strong> was their friday night guy who went down with TJ and may still go first round.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>College CWS tournament references<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>d1baseball.com&#8217;s&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.d1baseball.com\/daily\/today.htm\">daily scoreboard<\/a> is my go-to link for detailed data<\/li><li>d1baseball&#8217;s&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/d1baseball.com\/ncaa-regionals-tournament-central\/\">Tourney Central<\/a><\/li><li>Baseball America&#8217;s&nbsp;College coverage home page<\/li><li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.collegebaseballdaily.com\/\">CollegeBaseballDaily.com<\/a>&nbsp;has coverage as well.<\/li><li>CollegeBaseballCentral.com has coverage as well.<\/li><li>Ncaa.com&#8217;s&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/brackets\/baseball\/d1\/2021\">interactive full 64-team bracket<\/a><\/li><li>NCAA&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/stats\/baseball\/d1\/current\/individual\/200\">Individual player stats<\/a><\/li><li>Warren Nolan.com&#8217;s&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.warrennolan.com\/baseball\/2021\/index\">College Baseball RPI<\/a><\/li><li>Warren Nolan&#8217;s&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/warrennolan.com\/baseball\/2021\/conferencerpi\">Conference RPI rankings<\/a><\/li><\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>So, something happened with my blog hosting provider and I believe they lost some prior posts. I can no longer see my 2021 CWS regional prediction piece. I suspect a hosting failure. Nonetheless, here&#8217;s a recap of the 16 regionals. Quick Regional Recaps We\u2019ll review the 16 regionals in order of the larger bracket. &nbsp;Bold [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17090","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-natsgeneral"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17090","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=17090"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17090\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17103,"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17090\/revisions\/17103"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=17090"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=17090"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=17090"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}