{"id":7157,"date":"2013-09-03T12:40:19","date_gmt":"2013-09-03T16:40:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com.\/?p=7157"},"modified":"2013-09-03T12:40:19","modified_gmt":"2013-09-03T16:40:19","slug":"august-2013-monthly-review-of-nats-rotation-by-opponent-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=7157","title":{"rendered":"August 2013 Monthly review of Nats rotation by Opponent"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<div id=\"attachment_4747\" style=\"width: 160px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/StrasburgStephen_Landing_unk-via-thewifehatessports.com_.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4747\" class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-4747\" alt=\"Strasburg has an nice bounceback month.  Photo unk via thewifehatessports.com\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/StrasburgStephen_Landing_unk-via-thewifehatessports.com_-150x150.jpg\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-4747\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Strasburg has an nice bounceback month. Photo unk via thewifehatessports.com<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Continuing a monthly series of look-backs at our starters (here\u2019s\u00a0<a href=\"Apr: http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=6605\">Apr 2013<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com.\/?p=6503\">May 2013<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com.\/?p=7115\">June 2013<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=7157\">July2013<\/a>\u00a0posts), here\u2019s a glance at how our rotation did for the last month. As with previous posts, we\u2019ll have \u201cGrades\u201d per outing, the team\u2019s performance per opposing starter sliced and diced a few ways, and other per-starter stuff that I like to track.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>MLB Rotation Per-Start Grades<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0(click here for\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/teams\/WSN\/2013.shtml\">Nats overall season stats<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p>Strasburg: A-,A+,F\/inc,B-,A\/inc<br \/>\nGonzalez: B+,B+\/inc,B+,F,A+<br \/>\nZimmermann: A,D,A,F,A-,B+<br \/>\nHaren: A,A,A,A,C-,F-<br \/>\nOhlendorf: D-,A-<\/p>\n<p>Roark: A+ long relief stint<\/p>\n<p>Quick Summary: \u00a0<strong>Stephen Strasburg<\/strong> remembered how to pitch again and had several strong outings. \u00a0His two &#8220;incomplete&#8221; starts were of course the Atlanta pay-back game and last week&#8217;s rain delay game. \u00a0Its pretty unfair to give him an &#8220;F&#8221; in a game where he failed to finish the 2nd inning but &#8230; you have to give some sort of grade there. \u00a0I&#8217;d give him an &#8220;A+&#8221; for being the first and only guy on the team to show any g*d d*mn backbone in the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com.\/?p=7445\">wake of the\u00a0<strong>Bryce Harper<\/strong> bean-balls<\/a>. \u00a0<strong>Dan Haren<\/strong> put together four great starts in a row after coming off the D\/L and promptly laid an egg in his weekend start. \u00a0<strong>Ross Ohlendorf<\/strong> has been shaky, prompting many (including me) to replace him with\u00a0<strong>Tanner Roark<\/strong>. \u00a0\u00a0<strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Performance By Opponent Starting Pitcher Rotation Order Number<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>A look at the opposing team\u2019s rotation ranked 1-5 in the order they\u2019re appearing from opening day. \u00a0This table changes at the all-star break and honestly must be taken with a grain of salt, since guys like\u00a0<strong>Clayton Kershaw<\/strong>\u00a0are now the &#8220;#3 starter&#8221; on their teams because their turns were skipped coming out of the all-star game. \u00a0But here&#8217;s the table anyway:<\/p>\n<table width=\"697\" border=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<colgroup>\n<col width=\"95\" \/>\n<col width=\"53\" \/>\n<col width=\"307\" \/>\n<col width=\"242\" \/> <\/colgroup>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"95\" height=\"20\">Starter #<\/td>\n<td width=\"53\">Record<\/td>\n<td width=\"307\">Opposing Starter in Wins<\/td>\n<td width=\"242\">Opposing Starter in Losses<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\">1<\/td>\n<td>1-4<\/td>\n<td>Kendrick<\/td>\n<td>Lohse, Samardzija, Santana, Gee<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\">2<\/td>\n<td>3-2<\/td>\n<td>Bumgarner, Rusin, Eovaldi<\/td>\n<td>Wood, Wheeler<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\">3<\/td>\n<td>4-1<\/td>\n<td>Lincecum, Minor, Arrieta, Alvarez<\/td>\n<td>Minor<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\">4<\/td>\n<td>4-3<\/td>\n<td>Koehler, Davis, Lannan, Gorzelanny<\/td>\n<td>Teheran (2), Vogelsong<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\">5<\/td>\n<td>4-1<\/td>\n<td>Hand, Lee, Wood, Chen<\/td>\n<td>Medlen<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Quick thoughts: \u00a0<strong>Kyle Kendrick<\/strong> as #1 starter, yeah. \u00a0Lets just move on.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Performance By Opponent Starting Pitcher Actual Performance Rank Intra-Rotation<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>A ranking of opposing teams\u2019 rotations by pure performance at the time of the series, using ERA+ heavily.<\/p>\n<table width=\"697\" border=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<colgroup>\n<col width=\"95\" \/>\n<col width=\"53\" \/>\n<col width=\"307\" \/>\n<col width=\"242\" \/> <\/colgroup>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"95\" height=\"20\">Starter #<\/td>\n<td width=\"53\">Record<\/td>\n<td width=\"307\">Opposing Starter in Wins<\/td>\n<td width=\"242\">Opposing Starter in Losses<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\">1<\/td>\n<td>4-3<\/td>\n<td>Bumgarner, Minor, Lee, Wood<\/td>\n<td>Minor, Lohse, Santana<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\">2<\/td>\n<td>2-2<\/td>\n<td>Rusin, Gorzelanny<\/td>\n<td>Teheran (2)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\">3<\/td>\n<td>4-4<\/td>\n<td>Chen, Alvarez, Hand, Lincecum<\/td>\n<td>Samardzija, Wood, Medlen, Wheeler<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\">4<\/td>\n<td>2-1<\/td>\n<td>Lannan, Eovaldi<\/td>\n<td>Gee<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\">5<\/td>\n<td>4-1<\/td>\n<td>Kendrick, Arrieta, Davis, Koehler<\/td>\n<td>Vogelsong<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Quick Thoughts: Not much; the next table is the most useful.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Performance By Opponent Starting Pitcher League-wide \u201cRank\u201d<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nMy favorite analysis each month. \u00a0A team-independent assignment of a league-wide \u201crank\u201d of what the starter is. Is he an \u201cAce?\u201d Is he a #2?<\/p>\n<table width=\"697\" border=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<colgroup>\n<col width=\"95\" \/>\n<col width=\"53\" \/>\n<col width=\"307\" \/>\n<col width=\"242\" \/> <\/colgroup>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"95\" height=\"20\">1<\/td>\n<td width=\"53\">2-0<\/td>\n<td width=\"307\">Bumgarner, Lee<\/td>\n<td width=\"242\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\">2<\/td>\n<td>0-1<\/td>\n<td width=\"307\"><\/td>\n<td width=\"242\">Samardzija<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"40\">3<\/td>\n<td>3-8<\/td>\n<td width=\"307\">Wood, Minor, Lincecum<\/td>\n<td width=\"242\">Lohse, Santana, Minor, Teheran (2), Wood, Wheeler, Medlen<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\">4<\/td>\n<td>1-2<\/td>\n<td width=\"307\">Kendrick<\/td>\n<td width=\"242\">Gee, Vogelsong<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"40\">5<\/td>\n<td>8-0<\/td>\n<td width=\"307\">Rusin, Gorzelanny, Alvarez, Hand, Chen, Eovaldi, Arrieta, Lannan<\/td>\n<td width=\"242\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\">5+<\/td>\n<td>2-0<\/td>\n<td width=\"307\">Davis, Koehler<\/td>\n<td width=\"242\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Quick thoughts: \u00a0The Nats showed some interesting results this past month when it came to the talent levels of their opposing starter. \u00a0They got the best of the two best arms they faced all month (<strong>Madison Bumgarner<\/strong> and\u00a0<strong>Cliff Lee<\/strong>) but then faltered badly against what I call #3 starters. \u00a0Meanwhile they pummelled the starters they should have, going 10-0 against #5 or lower starters in this league. \u00a0This is what you want to see frankly.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Records by Pitching Advantage<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Start-by-start advantages in my own opinion and then looking at the results.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<table width=\"697\" border=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<colgroup>\n<col width=\"95\" \/>\n<col width=\"53\" \/>\n<col width=\"307\" \/>\n<col width=\"242\" \/> <\/colgroup>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"95\" height=\"20\">Advantage Desc<\/td>\n<td width=\"53\">Record<\/td>\n<td width=\"307\">Matchups in Wins<\/td>\n<td width=\"242\">Matchups resulting in Losses<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\">Wash<\/td>\n<td>10-2<\/td>\n<td width=\"307\"><\/td>\n<td width=\"242\">Zimm-Gee, Stras-Minor<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"40\">Even<\/td>\n<td>4-6<\/td>\n<td width=\"307\">Ohl-Arrieta, Ohl-Eovaldi, Haren-Hand, Stras-Minor<\/td>\n<td width=\"242\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"40\">Opp<\/td>\n<td>2-3<\/td>\n<td width=\"307\">Jordan-Lee, Gio-Bumgarner<\/td>\n<td width=\"242\">Jordan-Wood, Haren-Santana, Jordan-Lohse<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Quick thoughts: \u00a0For the first time all year, the Nats really took care of business when I thought they had the starting pitching advantage. \u00a0They went about even when the stakes were even. \u00a0That&#8217;s good.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Matchup analysis<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Looking at the opposing starter rank that our guys are going up against to see how their competition fares.<\/p>\n<table width=\"697\" border=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<colgroup>\n<col width=\"95\" \/>\n<col width=\"53\" \/>\n<col width=\"307\" \/>\n<col width=\"242\" \/> <\/colgroup>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\" width=\"148\" height=\"20\">Nats Starters Opponents<\/td>\n<td width=\"307\">matchup analysis<\/td>\n<td width=\"242\">Nats Record under starter<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\">Strasburg<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>three #3s, a #4, a #5<\/td>\n<td>4-1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\">Gonzalez<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>An ace, two #3s, two #5\/#5+<\/td>\n<td>3-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\">Zimmermann<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>A #2, two #3s, a #4 and 2 #5s<\/td>\n<td>3-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\">Haren<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Two #3s a #4 three #5s<\/td>\n<td>3-3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\">Jordan<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>An Ace and two #3s<\/td>\n<td>1-2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\">Ohlendorf<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Two #5s<\/td>\n<td>2-0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>team ttl for month:<\/td>\n<td>16-11<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Quick Thoughts: A good month all things considered, going 16-11. \u00a0 Too much one step forward\/one step back though with the middle of their rotation.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Continuing a monthly series of look-backs at our starters (here\u2019s\u00a0Apr 2013,\u00a0May 2013,\u00a0June 2013,\u00a0July2013\u00a0posts), here\u2019s a glance at how our rotation did for the last month. As with previous posts, we\u2019ll have \u201cGrades\u201d per outing, the team\u2019s performance per opposing starter sliced and diced a few ways, and other per-starter stuff that I like to track. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[164,426,246,983,385,43,772,894,1554,38,77,24],"class_list":["post-7157","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-mlbpitching","tag-bryce-harper","tag-clayton-kershaw","tag-cliff-lee","tag-dan-haren","tag-gio-gonzalez","tag-jordan-zimmermann","tag-kyle-kendrick","tag-madison-bumgarner","tag-ross-ohlendorf","tag-stephen-strasburg","tag-tanner-roark","tag-taylor-jordan"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7157","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7157"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7157\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7592,"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7157\/revisions\/7592"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7157"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7157"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7157"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}