{"id":717,"date":"2011-03-12T08:29:26","date_gmt":"2011-03-12T13:29:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=717"},"modified":"2011-03-12T08:29:26","modified_gmt":"2011-03-12T13:29:26","slug":"dc-ibwa-pre-season-nats-poll-unsolicited-opinions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=717","title":{"rendered":"DC-IBWA Pre-Season Nats Poll (unsolicited) Opinions."},"content":{"rendered":"<div>I&#8217;m a relative newcomer to the Nats blogosphere;\u00a0 soon I hope to be invited to be part of the &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/dc-ibwaa.blogspot.com\/\">DC Internet Baseball Writer\u2019s Association<\/a>&#8221; an unofficial BBWA-esque group of just the DC guys.\u00a0 Dave at <a href=\"http:\/\/natsnewsnetwork.blogspot.com\/\">Nats News Network<\/a> (who sometimes references my posts &#8230; thank you!) posited these pre-season Nats predictions to the group.\u00a0 Here&#8217;s the <a href=\"http:\/\/dc-ibwaa.blogspot.com\/2011\/03\/dc-ibwa-announces-2011-pre-season.html\">sum of their answers<\/a>.\u00a0 Since I love sharing my opinions on hypothetical questions as much as the next guy, here&#8217;s my thoughts.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>1)\u00a0 Who will lead the Nats in home runs in 2011?\u00a0 <strong>Zimmerman<\/strong>: tough call though, I&#8217;m guessing that all three guys in the 3-4-5 range finish with close to the same numbers.\u00a0 I&#8217;ll guess Zimmerman goes for 30, Werth 28 and LaRoche 25.\u00a0 Their numbers last year respectively were 25, 27 and 25.\u00a0 I think Zimmerman rebounds to repeat his 2009 numbers, Werth slightly down-ticks by not having Citizens Bank Park to hit in, and LaRoche consistently continues his typical production.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>2)\u00a0 Who will lead the Nas in RBI? <strong>Werth<\/strong>, if only because he&#8217;s hitting behind Zimmerman.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>3)\u00a0 Who will lead the Nats in stolen bases?\u00a0 <strong>Desmond<\/strong>.\u00a0 Most will say Morgan by default.\u00a0 I&#8217;m thinking Morgan may not hold onto the starting job for long, and we&#8217;ll be looking at Desmond in the leadoff role before you know it.<\/div>\n<div><strong> <\/strong><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>4)\u00a0 Who will lead the staff in wins?\u00a0 <strong>Livan<\/strong>: I see another season of Livan going 12-12 and the rest of our squad struggling to reach 200 innings.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>5)\u00a0 Who will lead the staff in saves?\u00a0 <strong>Storen<\/strong>: I think he&#8217;ll continue to be put into that role by virtue of his better control and more experience in the role as compared to Henry Rodriguez.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>6)\u00a0 Which starter will lead the team in starts?\u00a0 <strong>Livan<\/strong>: no question; he hasn&#8217;t missed a start since he defected.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>7)\u00a0 Who will pitch more innings for <em>the Nats <\/em>this season: Chien-Ming Wang, Yunesky Maya, Ross Detwiler?\u00a0 <strong>Yunesky Maya<\/strong>: I think Maya&#8217;s the first call-up and sticks in the rotation once he gets there.\u00a0 Wang may not get called up til May and there&#8217;s no guarantee he performs (or is healthy), while Detwiler may be trade bait on account of the logjam in the majors.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>8)\u00a0 Who will get more at bats for <em>the Nats<\/em> this season:\u00a0 Rick Ankiel, Jerry Hairston, Alberto Gonzalez?\u00a0 <strong>Ankiel<\/strong>: Gonzalez is closer to getting released than making this team, and Hairston is only going to be a once a week starter.\u00a0 Ankiel has a legitimate chance of winning a starting role on this team.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>9)\u00a0 Who will get more at bats for <em>the Nats<\/em> this season:\u00a0 Ivan Rodriguez, Jesus Flores, Wilson Ramos?\u00a0 <strong>Pudge<\/strong>.\u00a0 I think Pudge is still the starter and probably starts 4-5 of every 7 games this year.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>10)\u00a0 How many all-stars will the Nats have?\u00a0\u00a0Who?\u00a0 Tough call.\u00a0 I&#8217;m going to be an optimist and say Two.\u00a0 <strong>Zimmerman <\/strong>and <strong>Werth<\/strong>.\u00a0 I think the team gets some recognition, especially if we&#8217;re hovering around .500 for a good portion of the season.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>11)\u00a0 Total wins and what place in the division?\u00a0 <strong>75 wins, 4th place<\/strong>.\u00a0 The Mets seem like a trainwreck and could slip to last place.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>12)\u00a0 Single most important thing for the Nats this season?\u00a0 Don&#8217;t stick with under-performing starters; give our starting pitching depth a whirl and see if someone from Maya, Wang, Mock, Detwiler or even Gaudin can actually produce at the major league level.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>Here&#8217;s a few other questions worth asking:<\/div>\n<div>1. Who makes the squad as the #2 catcher, Flores or Ramos?\u00a0 I was going with <strong>Flores<\/strong>; older, more track record of production at the MLB level.\u00a0 But <strong>Ramos<\/strong> seems to be winning the positional battle right now.\u00a0 It makes sense for Flores, who hasn&#8217;t played in nearly 2 years, to put in a few games in AAA to get back into the grind.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>2. Will Ryan Zimmerman have a top-5 MVP finish?\u00a0 I&#8217;ll say <strong>no<\/strong>; but as soon as the Nats are playoff contenders Zimmerman will start to become listed regularly in the MVP conversation.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>3. Who will win the 5th Starter role?\u00a0 Barring injury, I say <strong>Gorzelanny<\/strong> by virtue of his (lack of) options status.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>4. Is Riggleman on the hot seat at all in 2011?\u00a0 I say <strong>no<\/strong>, by all accounts the team is more professional this year and that reflects well on the manager.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>5. Who &#8220;wins&#8221; the starting left fielder job?\u00a0 <strong>Morse<\/strong>.\u00a0 I&#8217;m going to be confident that Riggleman is going to put out the best player.\u00a0 Morse is hitting the cover off the ball this spring, and while Bernadina isn&#8217;t far behind Morse also was the superior hitter last year.\u00a0 Ankiel is falling behind and looks to be the 4th outfielder.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>6. Does Morgan hold onto his starting job?\u00a0 Not all season, not at this rate.\u00a0 5\/26 in the spring with a bunch of boneheaded plays in the field and on the basepaths.\u00a0 I really believe that the team should give the CF starting job to Bernadina.<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;m a relative newcomer to the Nats blogosphere;\u00a0 soon I hope to be invited to be part of the &#8220;DC Internet Baseball Writer\u2019s Association&#8221; an unofficial BBWA-esque group of just the DC guys.\u00a0 Dave at Nats News Network (who sometimes references my posts &#8230; thank you!) posited these pre-season Nats predictions to the group.\u00a0 Here&#8217;s [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-717","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-natsgeneral"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/717","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=717"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/717\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":800,"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/717\/revisions\/800"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=717"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=717"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=717"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}