{"id":7756,"date":"2013-09-27T07:20:53","date_gmt":"2013-09-27T11:20:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=7756"},"modified":"2013-09-27T07:20:53","modified_gmt":"2013-09-27T11:20:53","slug":"ladson-inbox-92613","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=7756","title":{"rendered":"Ladson Inbox 9\/26\/13"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_5019\" style=\"width: 160px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/LaRocheAdam-unk-via-bleacherreport.com_.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-5019\" class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-5019\" alt=\"Could the team deal LaRoche to improve at 1st? Photo Rob Carr\/Getty Images via bleacherreport.com\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/LaRocheAdam-unk-via-bleacherreport.com_-150x150.jpg\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-5019\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Could the team deal LaRoche to improve at 1st? Photo Rob Carr\/Getty Images via bleacherreport.com<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Phew. \u00a0I was running out of things to talk about lately. \u00a0Well, other than the ridiculous <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=7741\">John Feinstein article<\/a> this week or perhaps a missive on what a <a href=\"http:\/\/mlb.si.com\/2013\/09\/25\/brewers-carlos-gomez-braves-brian-mccann-brawl\/\">bunch of a-holes the Atlanta Braves<\/a> seem to be. \u00a0The federal end of year cycle has consumed all my time recently, so I&#8217;ve been late to post end-of-season minor league pitcher reviews. \u00a0We&#8217;ll get there; its a long winter.<\/p>\n<p>But thankfully a gift arrived via an unexpected\u00a0<strong>Bill Ladson<\/strong> inbox dated 9\/26\/13. \u00a0Lets see what questions Ladson took this time around. \u00a0As always, I write my response here before reading his and edit questions for clarity.<\/p>\n<p>Q: <strong>How disappointed were you in the 2013 Nationals?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A: Not so much disappointing as frustrating; when you&#8217;ve claimed &#8220;World Series or Bust&#8221; and your team isn&#8217;t gelling correctly, why not try to do more to fix the problem mid-season? \u00a0What was the sum total of the changes this team tried to make after it was clear the team was consistently playing .500 ball? \u00a0Replace a hitting coach? \u00a0Demote a couple guys who deserved demoting? \u00a0Trade for a 25th guy\/bench player? \u00a0I dunno. \u00a0Why massively increase payroll and sign luxury players like $15M closers and then do nothing when the team is clearly mired in a malaise for 4\/5ths of the season? \u00a0<em>Ladson says he was disappointed too<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Q:\u00a0<b>What do you consider the team&#8217;s greatest need in the offseason?<\/b><\/p>\n<p>A: A better question may be this: where *can* you upgrade this team as it sits now? \u00a0There&#8217;s not a single starting fielder who is a FA or who really needs to be replaced. \u00a0The two worst performing hitters (<strong>Span<\/strong> and\u00a0<strong>LaRoche<\/strong>) are both under contract for 2014. \u00a0I&#8217;ve already seen quotes that say that <strong>Rendon<\/strong>\u00a0will have &#8220;competition&#8221; for 2nd base next spring; from who exactly? \u00a0<strong>Lombardozzi<\/strong> and his 68 OPS+ or <b>Espinosa<\/b> and his 27 OPS+? \u00a0Right. \u00a0How about the starters? \u00a0The 3 main guys are not going anywhere. \u00a0Getting rid of\u00a0<strong>Detwiler<\/strong> would be selling very low. \u00a0It seems clear from the FA market and from the\u00a0<strong>Haren<\/strong> experience that the team should have a #5 starter competition between\u00a0<strong>Roark<\/strong>,\u00a0<strong>Jordan<\/strong> and\u00a0<strong>Karns<\/strong>. \u00a0 How about the bullpen? \u00a0Not really; maybe you tweak it and find a 5th or 6th guy who may pitch better than\u00a0<strong>Mattheus\u00a0<\/strong>did this year, but by and large the bulk of it already seems set (<strong>Soriano, Clippard, Stammen<\/strong> all seem like locks, <strong>Storen<\/strong> will be given a chance to rebound, one from <strong>Ohlendorf\/Roark<\/strong> probably fits in nicely as a long-man, and your lefties <strong>Abad<\/strong> and <strong>Krol<\/strong> have both been good). \u00a0So you&#8217;re left with bullpen scrubs and the bench. \u00a0Not exactly high-impact spots to improve.<\/p>\n<p>I was talking about this with friends recently; one thing I&#8217;d do if I was GM would be to sign\u00a0<b>Shin-Soo Choo<\/b>. \u00a0He posted a .424 OBP with 21 homers for Cincinnati from the leadoff position this year. \u00a0Career .389 OBP. \u00a0You put him in LF (since his defense in center is atrocious) and install\u00a0<strong>Harper<\/strong> in center where he belongs. \u00a0Dump Span somewhere, anywhere. \u00a0Instantly you get power and a significantly improved OBP at the top of your order. \u00a0The knocks on Choo are that he&#8217;s older (30 this year), that he doesn&#8217;t hit lefties (true &#8230; but his OBP split versus lefties is STILL higher than Span&#8217;s season long OBP, even given the run he&#8217;s had the last 6 weeks), and that he&#8217;ll be expensive. \u00a0A move like this likely never happens; Choo will command probably 4\/$40M or more, and I doubt the team wants to pay him that much or block an OF spot given the guys coming up.<\/p>\n<p>I wonder if we&#8217;re not going to see something bigger and unexpected happen. \u00a0A big trade that opens up a spot and lets the players move around. \u00a0Or a big FA signing that forces a trade of one of these entrenched players. \u00a0Because otherwise its hard to see how this team dramatically improves this off-season. \u00a0\u00a0<em>Ladsons says the team needs dependable loogies, bench and the back of the rotation. \u00a0Safe, obvious statements.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Q:\u00a0<b>Do you think\u00a0<a id=\"token-BCDBDE9428C0CEE75668C\" href=\"http:\/\/mlb.mlb.com\/team\/player.jsp?player_id=425560\">Adam LaRoche<\/a>\u00a0will be traded after this season?<\/b><\/p>\n<p>A: I don&#8217;t see it; I think <strong>LaRoche<\/strong> is a team favorite. \u00a0<strong>Rizzo<\/strong> wants plus-defenders manning the positions and that&#8217;s how he views LaRoche. \u00a0But here&#8217;s a dirty secret; LaRoche wasn&#8217;t that great this year defensively at 1st. \u00a0His <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/leaders.aspx?pos=1b&amp;stats=fld&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=500&amp;type=1&amp;season=2013&amp;month=0&amp;season1=2013&amp;ind=0&amp;team=0&amp;rost=0&amp;age=0&amp;filter=&amp;players=0&amp;sort=24,d\">UZR\/150 was negative<\/a>, he was ranked 18th among first basemen with more than 500 innings at the position this year, and only slightly better than the very sedentary\u00a0<strong>Ryan Howard<\/strong> and equally glacial\u00a0<strong>Chris Davis<\/strong> on the year. \u00a0And we have all seen his throwing arm; accurate but weak. \u00a0But if you jettison LaRoche, who&#8217;s taking him after he hit just .230 this year? \u00a0And who are you replacing him with? \u00a0The <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mlbtraderumors.com\/2012\/02\/2014-mlb-free-agents.html\">FA crop is weak<\/a>; who on that list would you want? \u00a0<strong>Mike Napoli<\/strong> maybe? \u00a0He can rake &#8230; but he also probably earned himself a ton of dough with his performance in Boston this year. \u00a0\u00a0<em>Ladson says LaRoche is going nowhere.<\/em><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Q:\u00a0<b>Why don&#8217;t the Nationals sign\u00a0<a id=\"token-020A1B639FFC802E607AD\" href=\"http:\/\/mlb.mlb.com\/team\/player.jsp?player_id=434604\">Michael Morse<\/a>? He has been injured, and they could get him for a cheap price.<\/b><\/p>\n<p>A: &#8230;. and they&#8217;d play him, where exactly? \u00a0He can play left field and first base, and last time I checked we&#8217;ve got those positions covered. \u00a0I like\u00a0<strong>Michael Morse<\/strong> like every one in DC else but he was *awful* this year. \u00a0And he picked an awful time to do it; age 31, in a contract year, playing in the relative media obscurity of Seattle. \u00a0If he had just hit a couple bombs down the stretch for Baltimore, maybe that would have helped. \u00a0Now you have to wonder if he&#8217;s just looking at a minor league deal. \u00a0Would the team consider him for a bench role? \u00a0Probably not, he likely still considers himself a starter and may not handle the bench well. \u00a0<em>Ladson says it isn&#8217;t happening<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Q:\u00a0<b>Is Cal Ripken Jr. managing the Nats next year just a rumor or a realistic possibility?<\/b><\/p>\n<p>A: Just a rumor. \u00a0What experience does <strong>Ripken<\/strong> have managing? \u00a0He&#8217;s not like other former players like\u00a0<strong>Don Mattingly<\/strong> (who cut his chops watching the great\u00a0<strong>Joe Torre<\/strong> for years in New York) or\u00a0<strong>Ryne Sandberg<\/strong> (who worked his way up the minors and earned his job in Philadelphia). \u00a0I&#8217;d be worried about him being completely out of his element. \u00a0What proof is there that he can handle a pitching staff or manage a game? \u00a0Give me a serious, experienced, no-nonsense guy to manage this team and get the guys in line after this year&#8217;s season-long drift. \u00a0Give me\u00a0<strong>Matt Williams<\/strong>. \u00a0<em>Ladson says it isn&#8217;t going to be Ripken<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Q:\u00a0<b>Do the Nats have any interest in signing\u00a0<a id=\"token-4861736D03350F750B688\" href=\"http:\/\/mlb.mlb.com\/team\/player.jsp?player_id=429664\">Robinson Cano<\/a>?<\/b><\/p>\n<p>A: Not at these prices; he <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nydailynews.com\/sports\/baseball\/yankees\/cano-seeking-record-setting-305m-deal-article-1.1468267\">reportedly wants 10yrs\/$305M<\/a>!! \u00a0And already turned down 6\/$144M. \u00a0Phew. \u00a0 I wouldn&#8217;t pay him $24M\/year in his decline years. \u00a0He&#8217;s no doubt a great player; is he that good? \u00a0Whoever signs him (Dodgers?) is going to really, really regret any deal longer than 6 years. \u00a0Well, unless it IS the Dodgers, who may make a complete mockery of the game in the next few years in terms of payroll. \u00a0Fun fact: The Dodgers already are <a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheet\/pub?key=0Ah4PW47PiAi-dDg4OTBnc3VGSk5NMXdIaThyclQ0b3c&amp;output=html\">committed to $165M<\/a> in payroll next year &#8230; for just ELEVEN players. \u00a0They still have to handle arbitration for <strong>Clayton Kershaw<\/strong> (who may command $20M) and fill out the rest of the lineup. \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<em>Ladson also mentions this contract demand<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Q:\u00a0<b>How about\u00a0<a id=\"token-5F9DCC19B0F3345DA0F91\" href=\"http:\/\/mlb.mlb.com\/team\/player.jsp?player_id=150029\">Jayson Werth<\/a>\u00a0as player-manager next year? It worked for the Senators, after all, with Bucky Harris and Joe Cronin.<\/b><\/p>\n<p>A: Well, if we don&#8217;t Cal Ripken can manage, what makes you think <strong>Werth<\/strong> has any such qualifications either? \u00a0Baseball has come an awfully long way from the days where teams thought a player\/manager was a workable idea. \u00a0Now a-days, the money involved and egos involved almost necessitate an experienced, veteran guy for nearly every team. \u00a0<em>Ladson thinks Werth would make a great manager.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Q:\u00a0<b>What do you think is the main cause of the Nats&#8217; struggles this season, and do you think they will be better next year?<\/b><\/p>\n<p>A: (see upcoming blog post that I&#8217;ll hit &#8220;publish&#8221; on when the season is over). \u00a0<em>Ladson says in order injuries, bullpen, bench, and St. Louis<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Q:\u00a0<b>At this point, how would you handicap the likely 2014 Nats managerial candidates?<\/b><\/p>\n<p>A: Who knows. \u00a0Is this really the pressing issue on the minds of Nats fans like Ladson makes it out to be? \u00a0 Somehow I don&#8217;t think its going to be anyone on the current field staff (sorry\u00a0<strong>Randy Knorr<\/strong>). \u00a0I think it will be either a big-name manager who gets the axe this off-season unexpectedly (<strong>Mike Scioscia<\/strong> or\u00a0<strong>Joe Girardi<\/strong>\u00a0would be decent choices) or a former player that Rizzo knows (which is why I keep coming back to Matt Williams). \u00a0<em>Ladson says Knorr is the leader but also mentions Williams and\u00a0<strong>Trent Jewett<\/strong>.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Phew. \u00a0I was running out of things to talk about lately. \u00a0Well, other than the ridiculous John Feinstein article this week or perhaps a missive on what a bunch of a-holes the Atlanta Braves seem to be. \u00a0The federal end of year cycle has consumed all my time recently, so I&#8217;ve been late to post [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14,5],"tags":[184,185,182,164,2009,681,1030,98,983,135,482,656,52,1503,1695,115,2010,1395,706,1890,1314,136,626,129,1935,196,1398,544,1167,51,1554,675,86,1400,1930,142,77,24,1394,128],"class_list":["post-7756","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-chatmailbag-responses","category-natsgeneral","tag-adam-laroche","tag-anthony-rendon","tag-bill-ladson","tag-bryce-harper","tag-bucky-harris","tag-cal-ripken","tag-chris-davis","tag-craig-stammen","tag-dan-haren","tag-danny-espinosa","tag-denard-span","tag-don-mattingly","tag-drew-storen","tag-fernando-abad","tag-ian-krol","tag-jayson-werth","tag-joe-cronin","tag-joe-girardi","tag-joe-torre","tag-john-feinstein","tag-matt-williams","tag-michael-morse","tag-mike-napoli","tag-mike-rizzo","tag-mike-scioscia","tag-nathan-karns","tag-rafael-soriano","tag-randy-knorr","tag-robinson-cano","tag-ross-detwiler","tag-ross-ohlendorf","tag-ryan-howard","tag-ryan-mattheus","tag-ryne-sandberg","tag-shin-soo-choo","tag-steve-lombardozzi","tag-tanner-roark","tag-taylor-jordan","tag-trent-jewett","tag-tyler-clippard"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7756","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7756"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7756\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7762,"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7756\/revisions\/7762"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7756"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7756"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7756"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}